How Climate Change Made Libya’s Flooding Even More Devastating

There are fears that 20,000 people have died in Libya in devastating floods that began on 11 September. The official death toll of more than 5,000 is likely to increase: at least another 10,000 people are missing.

Supercharging Storm Daniel Flooding specialists say the rainfall was unusually severe, and climate change probably intensified it by supercharging Storm Daniel, a low-pressure weather system that formed over the Mediterranean Sea around 4 September. According to the WMO, the storm caused record-breaking rainfall in Greece on 5–6 September.

More frequent and severe extreme weather events are among the expected and observed consequences of climate change. This was confirmed in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The report states that there is high confidence that “the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events have increased since the 1950s over most land areas for which observational data are sufficient for trend analysis.

Another possible factor is changes in jet streams: high-altitude air currents that strongly affect weather patterns. Storm Daniel was held in place for many days by an ‘omega block,’ in which the jet stream bent into a shape resembling the Greek letter omega, says Fowler.

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