MEG Energy: Discount on Canadian oil to shrink for 'years to come'

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RBC Capital Markets News

MEG Energy,Oil Prices,Erik Alson

RBC analyst Greg Pardy has hailed the nearly 600,000 barrel per day Trans Mountain expansion as a 'game changer.'

) expects better Canadian heavy oil prices for “years to come”, thanks to the newly operational Trans Mountain pipeline expansion . RBC Capital Markets says the oil sands producer’s cash flow is among the most sensitive to higher prices.. The industry hopes the bigger artery from Alberta to the B.C. coast will end years of depressed Western Canadian Select prices by improving access to global markets.

“Before TMX fills, I think you will see additional egress from an Enbridge Mainline expansion,” Alson added. “While I don’t see another pipeline being built, I believe there’s de-bottlenecking of other existing pipelines that will occur.” “Prevailing WCS-WTI spreads of around US$12 have narrowed in concert with TMX’s call for line-fill of 2.1 million barrels in each of April and May, but could dip into the single digits in the second half of 2024,” he wrote in a note to clients.) as companies in the sector that are the most cash flow sensitive to changes in WCS-WTI spreads. He identifies Suncor Energy stock and another bank as they crash further into the abyss.

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