Eskom is misleading the public with its load-shedding outlook for summer by focusing on the best-case scenario and not considering past trends in creating its estimates for load-shedding.that Eskom’s claimed reduction in unplanned outages is “simply not true according to Eskom’s own data”.to the media last week, where the utility said it expects South Africa to experience 116 days of load-shedding in summer with a maximum of stage 4.
A key measure that will help Eskom achieve this goal is the return of nearly 3,000 MW of generating capacity at the Kusile Power Station in the coming months. In the worst-case scenario, South Africa will only have two days without load-shedding in summer with a maximum of stage 7. Load-shedding has proven to be highly variable, fluctuating between no power cuts and stage 6 due to Eskom’s performance being unpredictable.
“You do not, as Eskom, put up a best-case scenario and expect credibility,” Trollip said. “They are not doing themselves, the country, or Eskom any favours by making these statements.”Trollip’s warning is substantiated by historical data from Eskom’s previous State of the System briefings.
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