, for example, have 2030 plans in place that in which emissions are expected to increase up to the end of the decade, then plummet to net zero in just 30 to 40 years’ time, which is seen as unrealistic.
“There’s a risk of focusing too far in the future,” says Olhoff. “The net-zero targets are extremely important, but what is equally important is to keep the focus on the short-term action, the immediate action that needs to happen, for the net-zero targets to become feasible and realistic.” It will be up to world leaders, set to arrive in Egypt next month for the next round of climate talks, to drive more ambition to close the “emissions gap” between current plans and the targets set in the Paris Agreement.
There are no credible pathway *within* the degrees of freedom we (subjectivity) choose for our modelling studies. We need to Escape from Model Land: forthcoming from H4wkm0th
The tragedy of humans is having the ability to think through challenges but we still choose the path of self destruction.