What is the ARkStorm? California's worst nightmare, potentially

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Climate change is upping the odds that a disastrous flood with up to 10 feet of water might actually happen in California. The ARkStorm may not be real yet, but it's scientifically plausible.

An aerial view of the Los Angeles River shows the effect of rains from an atmospheric river. The ARkstorm, the West Coast's other"Big One" would cause destruction on a much larger scale. Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

“In Southern California, you got a fire hose,” Mount says. “We got a little glimpse of the kinds of things that can happen.” The name ARkStorm stands for “atmospheric river 1,000,” referring to the meteorological phenomena that would cause such intense rainfall and the probability of it happening in any given year.30-50 percent of precipitation on the West Coast actually comes from atmospheric rivers, and the storms that hit California earlier this month were examples of these events.

“It could happen this year, it could happen next year, it might not happen for 50 or 60 years,” Swain said in a recent. There’s no cyclical nature to these storms, so we don’t necessarily expect them to occur at any time, he explained. But when you look at the state’s history, they’ve happened about every couple hundred years.

 

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