Daily on Energy: The powder keg that is US-China LNG trade

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Daily on Energy ⚡: The risk in US-China LNG trade.

THE RISK IN US-CHINA LNG TRADE: American LNG companies are scoring more and more long-term agreements with Chinese buyers, a development that helps advance financing of pending projects but one that some warn could leave exporters more vulnerable to getting mixed up in an ever-diminishing relationship between the U.S. and China.

Long-term deals between China and the U.S. were effectively limited to a small deal between PetroChina and Cheniere, noted Alex Munton, who oversees LNG and global gas markets for Rapidan Energy Group. Where risks lie: U.S.-China relations are constantly coming under strain as lawmakers in both parties demand a rewrite of the trade relationship. This could mean suppliers end up getting caught in the middle, whether via import restrictions or tariffs, which U.S. LNG faced during the Trump administration.

Moreover, Republicans, although they are advancing measures designed to expand exports of LNG, are increasingly hawkish on China. That hawkishness extends to energy exports: The party advanced a prohibition against sales of SPR crude oil to China earlier this year, and Sen. Marco Rubio reintroduced legislation that would ban petroleum exports to China.

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