A second Trump term could slow the shift from fossil fuels as climate threats grow

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If Donald Trump is reelected, his administration probably couldn’t stop the country’s transition away from fossil fuels. But any slowdown could have big impacts on climate change.

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Still, any delay in reducing climate pollution poses risks, because the world needs to move much faster than it is now to rein in the worsening effects of global warming, scientists say. A woman is treated for heat exhaustion as supporters lined up for a Trump town hall in Phoenix, Arizona, on June 6.Since Trump left office in 2021, conservative activists have worked to create a political apparatus for his return to the White House.

Project 2025 says the next conservative administration needs to “stop the war on oil and natural gas” and support an “all of the above'' energy policy. The plan’s recommendations include:Abolishing the Energy Department’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy and Loan Programs Office, which funds cutting-edge energy and manufacturing projects;And rescinding climate policies from foreign aid programs.

Trump reshaped the Supreme Court in his first term to create a 6 to 3 conservative supermajority, arguably Trump’s most potent climate legacy.Even with road maps like Project 2025 at his fingertips, it’s hard to know what Trump would do in a second term. While the conservative justices diverge on some rulings, their decisions regarding the environment have curtailed the federal government’s authority to protect it, making the Supreme Court arguably Trump’s most potent climate legacy.improve water quality and reduce flood risksDespite all that, Trump would be hard pressed to steer U.S. energy markets in a completely different direction, or to change how companies approach climate change.

“Climate change is not abstract anymore,” says Geoff Gisler, who oversees legal work at the Southern Environmental Law Center. “And the connection between how we get our energy and the consequences of climate change, I think it's a very real, tangible thing to folks.”

 

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