IEA Revises Oil Demand Outlook, Tweaks Supply Estimates

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The International Energy Agency (IEA) revised its global oil demand growth by 110,000 barrels per day and trimmed back supply estimates. Oil trading higher on the day

The Houthi attacks on shipping vessels has forced many tankers to avoid the corridor, seeking safer, but longer routes around the Cape of Good Hope in Southern Africa. Travelling a longer distance, often at a faster pace, is likely to add to fuel consumption and lessen/delay supplies. ‘Oil on the water’ surged by 85 million barrels in February, bringing the total to 1.9 billion barrels, as tankers are forced to re-route.

Brent has made a notable effort to break above the prior range of consolidation which formed mostly between $82 and $84. With the oil price above $85 a close on the daily chart above this level bodes well for a potential extension of the move.continue to make higher highs and higher lows since the December bottom. More recently, bulls will be encouraged by the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average as it acted as a springboard for the latest move.

 

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