How Energy Investors Should Read The Fed's Latest Notes

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After Another Bout Of Intensive Fed Watching News

Every Investor Should Ask,What Can We Read Into The Fed’S Intentions After

After another bout of intensive Fed watching, every investor should ask, what can we read into the Fed's intentions after this week's inflation numbers

As somebody whose start in markets came in interbank foreign exchange, I am used to a degree of obsession with central banks. Back when I started in that market, which was longer ago than I care to admit, central banks still believed that they controlled the fate of their own currencies.

Then, on Thursday morning, the more forward-looking PPI indicated that the slight resurgence in inflation that we have seen in the first quarter may be over, and markets moved in the opposite directions. The most remarkable thing about this bout of intense Fed watching is that the more information we get, it seems, the less we know. Just three months ago, the bond market was pricing in six or seven rate cuts this year.

 

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