Owing to those reasons, there is no single year going back to 1974 when all three asset classes simultaneously ended the year in red. That is very interesting and underscores the need to limit concentrated bets and focus on diversification at all times.
To understand how portfolios with and without commodities behave during different economic phases, we ran iterations on the classic 60/40 equity/bond portfolio and 50/25/25 equity/bond/commodities portfolio. The results weren’t surprising. Getting commodities in the mix means better returns across most economic phases.
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