There’s also no real knowing what Trump would do if he won. He is a wild card who feels little compunction to do what he says. But this is precisely the problem. Trump’s unpredictability could upset the relations between the United States and its core allies at a time of multiple interconnecting crises.Biden has painstakingly created a consensus with his core allies since Putin invaded Ukraine last year. This solidarity was clear at theThe group isn’t just acting together to help Ukraine.
One worry is that Trump would attempt to decouple the United States from China or raise the temperature over Taiwan. That would increase the risk of a conflict with China while straining relations with more dovish U.S. allies. Chinese President Xi Jinping would certainly try to exploit any divisions.
Trump might also show little interest in helping developing economies go green fast. Although Biden hasn’t provided much money to drive this initiative forward, he has installed a climate-friendly president of the World Bank and lent U.S. weight to schemes which help countries such as Indonesia finance the energy transition.The world’s other rich democracies - call them the G6 - cannot change the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. However, they are not completely powerless.