Climate Crisis Will Shrink Average Global Income 19 Percent in the Next 26 Years

Climate activists marched down 6th Avenue in Manhattan days after a report exposed the 35 different insurance companies supporting oil and gas projects across the U.S. Gulf South, on February 27, 2024, in New York City, New York.

The damages predicted by the study were more than twice those of similar analyses because the researchers looked beyond national temperature data to also incorporate the impacts of extreme weather and rainfall on more than 1,600 subnational regions over a 40-year period, Unlike previous studies, the research predicted economic losses for most wealthier countries in the Global North, with the U.S. and German economies shrinking by 11% by mid-century, France’s by 13%, and the U.K.’s by 7%. However, the countries set to suffer the most are countries closer to the equator that have lower incomes already and have historically done much less to contribute to the climate crisis. Iraq, for example, could see incomes drop by 30%, Botswana 25%, and Brazil 21%.

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