FAQ: 5 things to know about weather forecasts and climate change

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Climate change means more extreme weather across the U.S. That’s a challenge for weather forecasters.

Hurricane Ian passes over western Cuba in 2022, as captured by a U.S. weather satellite. Climate change is causing more extreme weather, and creates new challenges for weather forecasters.Climate change is causing the weather to get more erratic across the U.S. Rain storms that used to happen once in a lifetime now occur every few years. Heat waves are hotter, and last longer. Hurricanes come ashore with more powerful winds and storm surge.

Here are five things to know about how climate change is affecting weather forecasts, and what you can do to protect yourself from extreme weather.Climate change makes it more difficult to predict the weather, because as the Earth heats up, it causes weather patterns to change and get more extreme. “It's difficult to describe how much better has gotten,” says Bill Bunting, the deputy director of the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla. October will mark Bunting’s 39th year with the weather service. He says in that time, as the climate has changed, the tools for understanding the weather have also transformed.

Tornado forecasts are a good example, he says. While the connection between climate change and tornado frequency is still a topic of active research, what is clear is that there are more people than ever living in tornado-prone parts of the U.S. Protecting those populations from tornados requires forecasters to pinpoint exactly where tornadoes are forming, and then warn people as early as possible that their specific neighborhood is in the crosshairs.

Changes in extreme weather have led the weather service to change some of the most basic tools it uses to communicate with the public.

 

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