While the unusually high temperatures have now relented, fundamental questions remain: just how much more likely was that heat wave because of climate change? And how much worse did it get because of it?
"I think it's an important milestone," said Nathan Gillett, a research scientist with Environment Canada and Climate Change Canada, who helped steer the pilot project since its approval in 2022 under the federal government's national adaptation strategy. Rapid studies, popularized over the past decade by trailblazing international research groups, look to inject climate science into the discussion when it's most relevant."If you're rebuilding those bridges, it's useful to know whether the event was made more likely by human-induced climate change, and also to know how that likelihood might change in the future," said Gillett, who co-authored a study that indicated that B.C.
While many national meteorological agencies do attribution studies, Canada's commitment to a rapid study program on this scale is a standout example, said Sarah Kew, a climate researcher with Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and World Weather Attribution.
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