Why the energy price cap has come down for April - to what could be a new normal after Russia's Ukraine invasion

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A warm, wet winter helped UK domestic gas demand fall 16% in 2023 compared to the pre-war average, but the weather has flattered UK energy security.

The reduction in the Ofgem price cap that will apply from April may be the final step on the long, ruinously expensive road to a new normal for consumer energy prices. The guide price for typical annual dual-tariff use of £1,690 - a fall of 12.3% from the previous cap - is a dramatic reduction from the peak of more than £4,000 that applied just a year ago and prompted multi-billion pound state support for every household in the country.

In practice, it's been a universally applied maximum charge, with the taxpayer picking up the balance of every pound over £2,500. Lower wholesale prices, helped by the caprice of a mild winter, mean suppliers may have to work a little harder for your custom. British Gas is already offering a fixed price guaranteed at £1 below the April price cap, while E.On is offering a 3% discount on the cap for a year. Not much compared to the wild that existed before the war, but it is a start.

 

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