Counting Eskom chickens

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Eskom’s winter load-shedding hasn’t been as bad as it could have been, but energy expert Anton Eberhard warns not to celebrate too soon.

This comes after electricity minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa talked up Eskom’s improving energy availability factor .In a press briefing on Sunday, Ramokgopa once again highlighted that Eskom’s power plant performance has been improving.He said Eskom had increased its generation to over 29,900 megawatts, with demand at around 30,000 megawatts.

“I, along with all South Africans, want the performance of Eskom to improve and power cuts to end,” Eberhard“But let’s be careful in our analysis. The availability of generator units always improves in winter with less maintenance and lower partial load losses.”unprotected strike of Eskom workersIt took Eskom the latter half of 2022 and the start of 2023 to dig itself out of the hole the strike pushed it into.

Yelland explained that the EAF for the 2023 calendar year-to-date is 53.66%, where it was 59.44% for the same period last year. “We can expect another decline in the second half of the year, and the EAF target of 65% will probably not be met. Not being negative, just realistic,” Eberhard said.

 

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