, courts have agreed that state and corporate entities have a duty to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and demanded they adopt more aggressive policies. A Dutch court, for example, ordered the government to reduce emissions to 25% below 1990s levels, forcing it to go beyond its proposed goal of 17%.
“Attribution” — the term scientists use to describe the evidence linking human behavior to global warming — isn’t as easy as it might seem. Proving that some flood or storm damage is due to climate change, and not just a freak event of normal weather, means showing that such an event would have been much more unlikely in a world in which climate change wasn’t happening.
The science for making such causal links has matured in the past decade due to concerted efforts of groups such as the, created by scientists who have developed exhaustive methods for determining which events are and aren’t good candidates for realistic attribution. It’s unfortunate that, so far, the activists bringing climate cases don’t seem to be keeping up with the science.
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