The price of bread, beer and biscuits may rise this year as research suggests the unusually wet weather seen over autumn and winter could hit UK harvests by almost a fifth. The Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit analysed the crop area forecasts from the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board as well as Government yield data.
The warning comes just as food prices are beginning to fall following skyrocketing inflation sparked by the global gas price crisis. Wheat production could be hit particularly hard, with the ECIU estimating a fall of more than a quarter – 26.5% – compared to 2023. “We went through the winter with virtually nothing viable drilled, and while it’s now dry enough to plant some fields some of them are so bad I don’t think they’ll get drilled this year. The situation is very hit and miss.” It comes as the National Farmers’ Union recently said extreme weather presents one of the biggest threats to UK food security.
Noting that half of British food comes from abroad, Mr Lancaster said the Government will have to ensure farmers both in the UK and abroad are supported. “Moving faster to net zero emissions is the only guaranteed way to limit these impacts and maintain our food security,” he added.
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