An Alaska energy blogger breaks down the looming, much-nuanced Cook Inlet gas shortfall

A specialized unit called a jackup rig, at left, drilled a natural gas well last year at Hilcorp’s Tyonek platform, right, in Cook Inlet.

There are a few proposals to lessen the blow to ratepayers’ pocketbooks, but some are wondering if enough progress has been made on any of them to at least put off higher bills further into the future., McKittrick looked at a few different timelines related to the gas shortfall and says it’s not surprising that the whole issue has been confusing.Erin McKittrick

So if you put those things together, you get to 2027 or 2028. Now, if there’s some reduction in gas use, which is could be efficiency on the heat side, luck as far as weather, some renewable electricity on the electric side or the pool decline forecast is not as bad, that could shift out, you know, past 2028 and start getting closer to 2029 or 2030. So that’s kind of the picture.

But what Enstar said during this past legislative session is that their initial consultant report said that, you know, they could get something like this running by, you know, 2027, 2028. And now they don’t think they could until at least 2030, which leaves a few years where it’s possible that we will have a shortfall but not possible to have a large scale import facility.

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Dunleavy: Staff still working to understand what Cook Inlet gas development legislation will meanAhead of an Anchorage energy conference, Gov. Mike Dunleavy said his staff is still working to understand the impact of recently passed energy legislation in light of natural gas supply concerns in Southcentral Alaska.
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