A second Trump term could slow the shift from fossil fuels as climate threats grow

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If Donald Trump is reelected, his administration probably couldn’t stop the country’s transition away from fossil fuels. But any slowdown could have big impacts on climate change.

A man uses an umbrella at a campaign rally for former President Donald Trump on June 9 in Las Vegas, where temperatures climbed above 100 degrees.cast doubt on the scientific consensus. It calls for abolishing federal programs that address climate change and repealing Biden administration-backed laws that give billions in funding and tax incentives for corporations and communities to adopt renewable energy.

“The potential widespread harm that can emerge as a result of another decade of confusion and disorganization — it's hard to articulate the magnitude of those costs to society,” says Solomon Hsiang, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley. “The people who put that together believe that America has given up its energy dominance, brought about primarily by hydrocarbons, fossil fuels,” says Brigham McCown, director of the Initiative on American Energy Security at the Hudson Institute, a conservative think tank. “And so they want to see a return to that.”a record amount of oil under his administration. Furchtgott-Roth of the Heritage Foundation says that with different policies, the country could produce even more.

The goal, Furchtgott-Roth says, is for “America to be independent, use its sources of domestic energy and continue with the path to cleaner air.”Trump reshaped the Supreme Court in his first term to create a 6 to 3 conservative supermajority, arguably Trump’s most potent climate legacy.Even with road maps like Project 2025 at his fingertips, it’s hard to know what Trump would do in a second term.

While the conservative justices diverge on some rulings, their decisions regarding the environment have curtailed the federal government’s authority to protect it, making the Supreme Court arguably Trump’s most potent climate legacy.improve water quality and reduce flood risksWorkers install solar panels on AltaSea's research and development facility at the Port of Los Angeles in California.Despite all that, Trump would be hard pressed to steer U.S.

“Climate change is not abstract anymore,” says Geoff Gisler, who oversees legal work at the Southern Environmental Law Center. “And the connection between how we get our energy and the consequences of climate change, I think it's a very real, tangible thing to folks.”

 

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