An “exceptional climate change event” is forecast to push temperatures well above seasonal averages across B.C. this week and could lead to spike in wildfire risk, a new analysis warns.
“We were looking at this and getting flashbacks with some of the patterns that we were seeing last year,” Pershing said. Climate Central’s analysis is based on a pool of historical weather data. That data is fed into a peer-reviewed process that compares observed temperature data with models that show a counterfactual world, one where human-caused global warming never happened and the weather behaves on its own.
Brian Proctor, a meteorologist with Environment and Climate Change Canada who didn't take part in the Climate Central analysis, said computer weather models he has seen suggest temperatures rising between three to five degrees Celsius across some parts of B.C. Over the next several days, Climate Central’s modelling paints a large slice of the map of B.C. in deep red, spanning the Alaska border to the northern half of Vancouver Island.
Little precipitation in sight The warning comes as B.C. faces snowpack levels 63 per cent of normal, the lowest in half a century. It’s a problem felt nearly everywhere in the province because melting snow helps moisten land and fill waterways.
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