The Energy Transition: A Megatrend for Investors

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The energy transition is the new gold rush and investors play an essential role

The world is undergoing a paradigm shift, both politically and economically. This article is the second in a four-part series that examines several changes, including the energy transition opportunity, evolving dynamics with emerging markets, and how North America can leverage its comparative advantages to strengthen its position in the global market.

Bumper profits in the hydrocarbons industry should not obscure the fact that we are headed toward a greener future. While not everything that glitters will be gold, the overarching reality is that demand for electricity is expected to grow seven times faster than demand for other end-use energy sources.

And it’s not just the West. In 2022, China’s investments in renewable energy surpassed those of the United States by nearly four times, at US$546-billion. This is the same country that is producing and exporting more electric vehicles than anywhere else in the world.

If you don’t believe this, just look at the activity of financial institutions, for example. At COP26, the UN climate change conference in 2021, financial institutions with more than $130-trillion in assets under management committed to reaching, before 2050, a state of net-zero carbon emissions among the companies they invest in or lend to. This commitment will fundamentally change the way they deploy capital.

Concerns about high electricity generation costs and uncertainty regarding production and storage capacity are gradually being mitigated by technological improvements. With continuous scientific advances and increasing government supports, the costs of both solar and wind energy have plummeted below traditional fuels in some jurisdictions.

With any emergent industry, there’s inherent uncertainty. But consider this: not long ago, solar and wind energy generation were prohibitively expensive and solely reliant on government subsidies. Today, these technologies are cheaper, politically attractive and supported by an abundant inflow of institutional capital, with many big players amassing multibillion-dollar funds to deploy across renewable portfolios.

 

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